Sunday, December 1, 2013

Week - 3 Swing Trading - Introduction to Technical Indicators

Welcome back to the Swing Trading – Week 3

Swing trading stocks begins with a hunt and the hunt goes on until you find the perfect one. There are many different ways you can hunt for stocks, using fundamentals or using technicals.  We are going to take the technical hunt, inorder to perform this hunt you need to understand every technical indicators you like to use. Lets jump right in……….

Technical indicators are broadly classified as Indicators (RSI, MACD, OBV, etc) and Overlays (SMA, EMA, KC, BB) (indicators are sometimes called as leading indicators, and overlays as lagging indicators FYI only).

Indicators can be classified as Momentum, Trend and Volume Indicators. Some Volatility Indicators are overlays on chart like the Bollinger Band.

Before we get into the details on indicators, I think it is my duty to give you the most important warnings.

·         Do not use Technical indicators as signal to Buy or Sell.
  • Technical indicators measure price and/or volume “behavior”. The most newcomers often make mistake is treating them as buy or sell signals. Technical indicators are great for stock hunt, Buy and sell signals should be based on the price action.


Following table can give you a summary of all known Indicators and their functions.

Indicator
Function
Based on
ROCV
Rate of Change in Volume
Measures increase in Volume
Volume
VO
Volume Oscillator
Measures Trend in Volume
Volume
OBV
On Balance Volume
Measure the accumulation or distribution by comparing volume to price.
Closing Price and Volume
PVT
Price - Volume Trend
Measure the strength of price trends
Closing Price and Volume
-
Accumulation/Distribution
Measure the Price and Volume relative movements
Closing Price, Range and Volume
MFI
Money Flow Index
Measure the volume on green vs red days (RSI for Volume)
Closing Price, Range and Volume
CMF
Chaikin Money Flow
Measure the Price and Volume relative movements
Closing Price, Range and Volume
RSI
Relative Strength index
Strength of buyers and sellers in its current direction
Closing Price, previous closes
-
Aroon Indicator
Determines whether a stock is trending or not
High/Low
ADX
Average Directional Index
Measures the Strength of Trend
Closing Price, High/Low
TSI
True Strength Index
Smooth RSI version
EMA
-
Vortex Indicator
Identifies the start of a new trend.
High/Low
ParSar
Parabolic SAR
Measures reversal points based on High and Low price data
Closing Price, High/Low
SMA
Simple Moving Average
Measure of trend direction by smoothing price data
Closing Price
EMA
Exponential Moving Average
Measure of trend direction by smoothing price data
Closing Price
MACD
Moving Average Convergence and Divergence
Measures the distance between the two moving average lines
Moving Average
TRIX

Triple-smoothed exponential moving average of closing prices
Moving Average
CCI
Commodity Channel Index
Shows a price variation from its Moving Average.
Closing price, Moving Average
DPO
Detrended Price Oscillator
Compares closing price to a prior moving average
Closing price, Moving Average
Sto
Stochastic
Measures the Momentum based on closing price and MAs.
Closing Price, Range
-
Williams %R
Measures the Momentum based on closing price and MAs.
Closing Price, Range
-
Williams Accum/Dist
Measures Accumulation/Distribution without Volume
Closing Price, High/Low
-
Elder Ray Index
Measures buying and selling pressure in the market.
High/Low, Moving Average
ATR
Average True Range
Measures a stock's volatility
High vs Low
BB
Bollinger Band
Measures Volatility
Standard Deviation and SMA
KC
Keltner Channels
Overlay based on ATR
Average True Range, Multiplier
-
Ichimoku Cloud
Defines Support & Resistance, Trend, Momentum and Trading Signals
High/Low of various time periods
-
Pivot Points
Defines Support & Resistance
Closing Price, High/Low

You don’t need to know all the indicators in-depth. But having an in-depth knowledge on important indicators can help build a trading strategy.

For Example,
Let’s use Aroon Indicator, this indicator determines the trend, we can use this indicator to find stocks that are consolidating (can use this indicator to scan for many other trade ideas), using the following expressions on stockcharts.com

We will get in details about this indicator in later lessons.

Stockcharts advanced scan criteria.
[Daily Aroon Up(25) < 20] AND [Daily Aroon Down(25) < 20]

Using this scan, showing the 6 of 50 stocks result. 
SM
SM Energy Co.
NYSE
Energy
Exploration & Production
SSD
Simpson Mfg Co, Inc.
NYSE
Industrial
Building Materials
SYNA
Synaptics, Inc.
NASD
Technology
Computer Hardware
TKR
Timken Co.
NYSE
Industrial
Industrial Machinery
TSCO
Tractor Supply Co.
NASD
Cyclicals
Specialty Retailers
TXRH
Texas Roadhouse Inc.
NASD
Cyclicals
Restaurants & Bars

Note: I have not looked at these stocks charts yet, this is not a buy or sell recommendation.

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